There is no second chance for PARIVISION or Natus Vincere. Both teams enter the final Swiss round with a 2–2 record, meaning the winner reaches the ESL Pro League Season 24 playoffs and the loser goes home.

NAVI have faced the tougher opposition

NAVI have produced mixed results in Katowice, but their two defeats came against Vitality and Falcons. Both matches went to three maps, and NAVI had opportunities to win each series.

Their victories were far more convincing. Aleksib’s team opened the tournament by beating G2 2–0 before delivering another clean series against 9z.

NAVI were unable to secure their playoff place against Falcons, losing 2–1 after a close series. That defeat was disappointing, but their overall level has been better than the 2–2 record suggests.

b1t and w0nderful remain the biggest individual threats, while iM and makazze give NAVI several players capable of taking control of a map. They also have plenty of experience in matches where the pressure is high.

PARIVISION kept their tournament alive against G2

PARIVISION began with a 2–1 victory over Legacy before losing consecutive matches against Spirit and FURIA.

They responded well in their first elimination match, beating G2 2–1 to remain in the tournament. PARIVISION lost the opening map but recovered to win the next two, showing that they are capable of handling a difficult situation.

Jame brings plenty of experience to the team, while FL1T and xiELO can cause problems if they are given room to work. PARIVISION are comfortable playing slowly and forcing their opponents to remain patient.

Their results have still been inconsistent. They have won only two of their last six matches, and both victories during this tournament required all three maps.

NAVI have the better recent record in this matchup

NAVI have won the two meetings between these teams in 2026.

The first came at IEM Kraków, where NAVI recovered from losing Anubis in overtime to win the deciding map. They met again at BLAST Open Rotterdam, with NAVI taking another 2–1 victory.

PARIVISION managed to win a map in both series, which makes the handicap markets less attractive. NAVI have also played three maps in both of their defeats at this tournament.

That makes a straight NAVI victory the safer option. They do not need to dominate the series or win 2–0. They simply need to come through another potentially close best-of-three.

NAVI should have more answers across the map pool

The map veto could produce another competitive series. PARIVISION have looked strong on Nuke, while NAVI have performed well on both Nuke and Cache during the last three months.

NAVI’s advantage comes from having more ways to win. They have stronger individuals, more experience against top opposition and a reliable AWPer in w0nderful.

PARIVISION will try to slow the match down and punish mistakes, but NAVI have already beaten similar styles several times. Aleksib should also be able to make the necessary adjustments if the opening map becomes difficult.

Verdict

PARIVISION showed character against G2 and should not be underestimated. They have already taken maps from Spirit and FURIA during this tournament and have won a map in both recent meetings with NAVI.

NAVI are still the better team. Their defeats against Vitality and Falcons were close, while their two victories both ended 2–0. With a playoff place on the line, their experience and individual quality should make the difference.

Tip

Natus Vincere to win